Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001705 0.001817 0.001932 0.002061 0.002200 0.002346 0.002511
2025-01-19 0.001527 0.001683 0.001851 0.002045 0.002266 0.002508 0.002797
2025-01-26 0.001362 0.001538 0.001733 0.001966 0.002240 0.002551 0.002935
2025-02-02 0.001309 0.001509 0.001737 0.002018 0.002357 0.002755 0.003263
2025-02-09 0.001258 0.001476 0.001731 0.002052 0.002449 0.002929 0.003560
2025-02-16 0.001242 0.001482 0.001768 0.002136 0.002604 0.003184 0.003969
2025-02-23 0.001188 0.001437 0.001739 0.002135 0.002649 0.003301 0.004205
2025-03-02 0.001112 0.001360 0.001665 0.002073 0.002610 0.003305 0.004289
2025-03-09 0.001053 0.001302 0.001612 0.002032 0.002595 0.003336 0.004408
2025-03-16 0.001015 0.001268 0.001588 0.002028 0.002627 0.003430 0.004616
2025-03-23 0.000972 0.001227 0.001551 0.002004 0.002629 0.003483 0.004767
2025-03-30 0.000940 0.001196 0.001528 0.001995 0.002652 0.003563 0.004961
2025-04-06 0.000892 0.001147 0.001481 0.001959 0.002641 0.003605 0.005117
2025-04-13 0.000855 0.001111 0.001450 0.001943 0.002659 0.003691 0.005345
2025-04-20 0.000800 0.001048 0.001380 0.001869 0.002588 0.003640 0.005359
2025-04-27 0.000791 0.001048 0.001397 0.001917 0.002699 0.003867 0.005825
2025-05-04 0.000777 0.001040 0.001401 0.001949 0.002785 0.004060 0.006251
2025-05-11 0.000779 0.001054 0.001437 0.002028 0.002948 0.004383 0.006916
2025-05-18 0.000757 0.001032 0.001421 0.002027 0.002985 0.004506 0.007250
2025-05-25 0.000719 0.000987 0.001368 0.001969 0.002929 0.004472 0.007303
2025-06-01 0.000689 0.000952 0.001330 0.001930 0.002901 0.004484 0.007440
2025-06-08 0.000671 0.000934 0.001314 0.001926 0.002929 0.004591 0.007755
2025-06-15 0.000649 0.000908 0.001288 0.001904 0.002926 0.004643 0.007970